NFL Picks Against the Spread (ATS) for Week 16
It was a memorable and exciting Week 15 in the NFL for a variety of reasons (close games, fantastic finishes, several big rallies including the largest comeback ever), but one thing held true. Big spreads continued to be the kiss of death for bettors. Of the four teams that were favored by a touchdown or more, only one (Green Bay vs. Los Angeles Rams) covered.
Related: Expert Picks for Every Week 16 NFL Game
So what does that mean for Week 16? For starters, the schedule is set up a little differently with more games on Saturday since Christmas falls on a Sunday. But from a point spread standpoint, Baltimore (vs. Atlanta), Buffalo (at Chicago), Kansas City (vs. Seattle), San Francisco (vs. Washington), and perhaps even Tampa Bay (at Arizona), need to be on their guard, or rather interested bettors may want to be wary. After all, you don't want a big point spread that's not covered to ruin your Christmas do you?
Here's how Athlon's own Steven Lassan (@AthlonSteven), Mark Ross (@AthlonMarkR), and Ben Weinrib (@benweinrib), along with AthlonSports.com contributor Bryan Fischer (@BryanDFischer) see Week 16 playing out when it comes to picking against the spread.
NFL Week 16 Picks Against the Spread
| Spread | Bryan Fischer | Steven Lassan | Mark Ross | Ben Weinrib | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jacksonville at New York Jets (TNF) | NYJ -2 | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars |
Atlanta at Baltimore (Sat.) | BAL -7 | Falcons | Ravens | Ravens | Ravens |
Detroit at Carolina (Sat.) | DET -2.5 | Lions | Lions | Lions | Panthers |
Buffalo at Chicago (Sat.) | BUF -8 | Bills | Bills | Bills | Bills |
New Orleans at Cleveland (Sat.) | CLE -2.5 | Browns | Browns | Browns | Browns |
Seattle at Kansas City (Sat.) | KC -10 | Chiefs | Chiefs | Chiefs | Chiefs |
New York Giants at Minnesota (Sat.) | MIN -4 | Vikings | Vikings | Vikings | Vikings |
Cincinnati at New England (Sat.) | CIN -3 | Bengals | Bengals | Bengals | Bengals |
Houston at Tennessee (Sat.) | TEN -3 | Titans | Titans | Texans | Titans |
Washington at San Francisco (Sat.) | SF -7 | 49ers | 49ers | 49ers | Commanders |
Philadelphia at Dallas (Sat.) | DAL -5 | Eagles | Cowboys | Cowboys | Eagles |
Las Vegas at Pittsburgh (Sat.) | PIT -2.5 | Raiders | Steelers | Steelers | Raiders |
Green Bay at Miami | MIA -4 | Dolphins | Dolphins | Dolphins | Packers |
Denver at Los Angeles Rams | DEN -2.5 | Rams | Broncos | Broncos | Broncos |
Tampa Bay at Arizona (SNF) | TB -7.5 | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Cardinals |
Los Angeles Chargers at Indianapolis (MNF) | LAC -4.5 | Chargers | Chargers | Chargers | Colts |
Week 15 | 5-10 | 8-7 | 7-8 | 3-12 | |
Season Total* | 99-119 | 102-116 | 103-115 | 102-116 |
*Week 4's Bills-Ravens (Bills -3, 23-20), Week 5's Bears-Vikings (Vikings -7, 29-22), Week 9's Chargers-Falcons (Chargers -3, 20-17) and Rams-Buccaneers (Bucs -3, 16-13), Week 11's Bears-Falcons (Falcons -3, 27-24), and Week 15's Titans-Chargers (Chargers -3, 17-14) games are not counted in the season total because they were all pushes based on spreads.
