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Bengals vs. Patriots Week 16 Odds, Bets, Predictions: Joe Burrow and Crew Look to Stay Hot Against the Spread

The Bengals have covered the spread eight times in their last nine games but the Patriots have been dominant at home with an 8-2 record in their last 10 outings.

The Bengals will look to extend their six-game winning streak when they face off against the Patriots this weekend. The spread currently favors the Bengals by 4.5 points and the total for the game is set at 41.5 points.

The Bengals have been on a roll lately, winning six straight games, four of which have come against AFC teams. They have also been successful against the spread, with a 13-1 record in their last 14 games when coming off a win. Overall, Cincinnati has a strong record against the spread, going 16-3 in its last 19 games and 8-1 in the last nine.

On the other side, the Patriots have struggled offensively, especially against AFC teams, with the under cashing in six out of nine games. It's worth noting, however, that the Patriots have had a strong straight-up record at home, going 8-2 in their last 10 games at Gillette Stadium.

Bengals vs. Patriots Odds:

Spread: Bengals -4.5 (+120) | Patriots +4.5 (-143)
Moneyline: Bengals -163 | Patriots +138
Over/Under: 41.5

Key Offensive Playmaker: Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow has had a strong start to his NFL career, and he will look to continue his success when he faces off against Bill Belichick’s passing defense this weekend. In 14 games this season, Burrow has thrown for 3,885 yards and 31 touchdowns, with a completion rate of 68.2 percent. He has also shown his ability to make plays with his legs, rushing for 242 yards and five touchdowns.

However, the Patriots' passing defense has been solid this season, allowing an average of 223 yards per game through the air. They have also recorded 14 interceptions, which is tied for the second-best mark in the league.

One player to watch on the Patriots' defense is Matt Judon, who is second in the league in sacks with 14.5. Burrow will have to keep his head on a swivel as he’s already been sacked 37 times this season which is tied for sixth among quarterbacks.

Overall, this looks like a close matchup between two talented teams. The Bengals' recent success and strong record against the spread make them the favorites, but the Patriots' home-field advantage and solid defense could make for a close game. If you're considering placing a bet on this game, it's important to carefully consider all of the available information and do your own research before making a decision.

Betting Prediction

Point Spread/Moneyline: It’s difficult not to lay the points with the Bengals, outside of the 49ers, they’ve been the hottest team in the NFL. Cincinnati has had no problem covering the spread as an away favorite as indicated by their 4-2 ATS record for those conditions. Meanwhile, the Patriots are 0-2 ATS when listed as a home underdog.

Bengals -4.5

Over/Under: Even though the Bengals have the No. 5 scoring offense (26.4 ppg) the Patriots' defense is No. 7 in points allowed per game (19.2 ppg). Three of the last four Bengals games have gone under and so have two of the Patriots' last three.

Under 41.5